Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.046826 0.050951 0.055132 0.059679 0.064477 0.069383 0.074773
2024-10-20 0.039358 0.045352 0.051656 0.058755 0.066498 0.074661 0.083891
2024-10-27 0.034661 0.042081 0.050152 0.059518 0.070023 0.081379 0.094522
2024-11-03 0.030089 0.038438 0.047814 0.059005 0.071878 0.086110 0.102916
2024-11-10 0.026767 0.035858 0.046374 0.059244 0.074383 0.091442 0.111935
2024-11-17 0.024294 0.034016 0.045568 0.060030 0.077374 0.097245 0.121465
2024-11-24 0.023268 0.033806 0.046611 0.062937 0.082823 0.105903 0.134354
2024-12-01 0.020145 0.030686 0.043859 0.061039 0.082363 0.107500 0.138900
2024-12-08 0.018010 0.028656 0.042307 0.060470 0.083389 0.110770 0.145364
2024-12-15 0.016241 0.026962 0.041051 0.060156 0.084635 0.114241 0.152031
2024-12-22 0.015608 0.026770 0.041718 0.062275 0.088914 0.121421 0.163224
2024-12-29 0.014650 0.026037 0.041596 0.063319 0.091802 0.126885 0.172347
2025-01-05 0.013643 0.025191 0.041309 0.064169 0.094510 0.132238 0.181508
2025-01-12 0.012177 0.023547 0.039828 0.063345 0.095004 0.134798 0.187229
2025-01-19 0.011373 0.022850 0.039631 0.064232 0.097722 0.140179 0.196503
2025-01-26 0.010243 0.021545 0.038480 0.063738 0.098563 0.143144 0.202744
2025-02-02 0.009430 0.020680 0.037916 0.064016 0.100409 0.147387 0.210612
2025-02-09 0.008834 0.020126 0.037774 0.064860 0.102998 0.152590 0.219716
2025-02-16 0.008829 0.020582 0.039173 0.067933 0.108663 0.161851 0.234085
2025-02-23 0.007644 0.018861 0.037130 0.065937 0.107296 0.161849 0.236519
2025-03-02 0.006876 0.017817 0.036081 0.065339 0.107820 0.164311 0.242121
2025-03-09 0.006231 0.016938 0.035242 0.065010 0.108687 0.167209 0.248287
2025-03-16 0.006128 0.017100 0.036099 0.067246 0.113201 0.175021 0.260930